What is Macho Picks?

An introduction to the algorithm

7/12/20241 min read

How does Macho work?

Every day, Macho’s algorithm sifts through large swaths of data to compare the real probability of an outcome, to the probability implied in the bookmakers odds to find the highest value bets at sports books across the world. These “Macho Picks” are then sent to subscribers’ inboxes—helping bettors make more informed decisions, and take advantage of market inefficiencies, before placing their bets at their chosen sports books.

What makes Macho different?

Most betting recommendation sites use one strategy to beat bookmakers. Macho uses three.

  1. Top down Strategies (Efficient Market Hypothesis): When analyzing the probable outcome of a game, Macho looks at all the available odds at sports books around the world. These odds indicate a consensus of the bookmakers and sharp bettors. Macho then looks for pricing inefficiencies—sportsbooks that have posted better odds than the status quo.

  2. Bottom up Strategies (Originating): Macho also has in-depth knowledge of sports. It uses machine learning to analyze historical data and current team statistics to determine a potential winner.

  3. Forecast Ensembling (Wisdom of Crowds): Macho combines the information gleaned from the top-down and bottom-up analyses, as well as other methods of prediction. It then uses these ensembled results to create an even more robust prediction.

Fortune favors the Macho!

Sign up for Macho Picks and get daily MLB bet recommendations for free and access to early bird pricing for upcoming sports/bet types.